UK: Terrorism: Attacks by animal rights activists against Barclays are increasing in frequency and severity. :: UK: Civil Unrest: There is a limited risk of small-scale violent protests in the City of London on 1 and 2 April 2009 around the G20 summit. :: UK: Terrorism: Attacks on security forces marginally increase risk of damage to commercial assets in N Ireland and of sporadic bombings on mainland UK. :: Switzerland: Political Risk: Several initiatives will attempt to tighten the regulatory environment for Swiss banks in 2009. :: Morocco: A security crackdown is unlikely to prevent future attacks on marine assets in Casablanca and tourism assets across the country. :: Lebanon: War and Terrorism: Further attempts to provoke Sunni-Alawi fighting in Tripoli are likely, although violence is unlikely to reach June-July levels. :: Bangladesh: Political Risk/War: The government is unlikely to solve its energy dilemma soon; naval skirmishes with Myanmar are likely over disputed reserves. :: Yemen: Terrorism: Militants pose limited risks to shipping at Aden Port, but port facilities are a likely target for mortar fire or vehicle-borne explosives. :: Pakistan: Civil Unrest: Power shortages over the summer are likely to lead to violent protests targeting power companies in major cities in Punjab and Sindh. :: Argentina: Political Risk: Proposed new broadcasting law increases government intervention and legal uncertainty; large media groups would have to divest assets. :: China: Terrorism: Uyghur separatists are likely to resume bombings, mainly on public transport and the police, with limited risk of collateral damage. :: Colombia: Terrorism: Emerging drug gangs are offsetting the decline of FARC and ELN guerrillas and are engaged in extortion-related bombings and kidnapping. :: Turkey: Terrorism: Sunni terrorist groups have strengthened their presence in Turkey; the risk of bomb attacks on western and state assets is increasing. :: Kazakhstan: Political Risk: Kazakhstan has agreed to a $10 billion loan with China, which will help large Kazakh banks and KazMunaiGaz service debts in 2009. :: South Africa: Political Risk: Funding shortfalls will delay infrastructure projects, but a Zuma government is unlikely to cancel major projects. :: Italy: Civil Unrest: The recession is likely to lead to substantially increased civil unrest in the next year; demonstrations, strikes and riots are likely. :: Iraq: Terrorism: The failure to integrate the Sons of Iraq into government employment will likely allow a greater foothold for insurgents and militias. :: DRC: Political Risk: A recovery in the Katangan mining sector is likely to take several months to alleviate fiscal pressures for the central government. :: Somalia: Terrorism: Recent expressions of qualified support for pirates by Somali Islamists are not evidence of their cooperation. :: Egypt: Political Risk: Gamal Mubarak and the military will likely agree on a successor and preserve the dominant position of major business families. :: Venezuela: Political Risk: Shortages in hard currency availability for private businesses has worsened, disrupting sourcing of imports and firms' debt service. :: Russia: Political Risk: The Nabucco pipeline is unlikely to be built after the global recession ends; the South Stream project is more likely to go ahead. :: Mexico: Civil Unrest: A ruling on the Cananea mining dispute is likely to lead to an increase in insurance claims, sympathy strikes and port disruptions. :: Ecuador: Political Risk: Correa’s re-election will allow him to consolidate power, but the economic crisis will tame some of his nationalistic policies. :: Ghana: Political Risk: Ghana will likely receive a $1 billion loan from the IMF, but resulting pressure to increase revenue will make tax rises more likely. :: Israel/PA: Terrorism: Deployment of the Vulcan-Phalanx system will likely lower the threat from short-range rockets to strategic assets in the south in 2010. :: Russia: War: Defence reforms are unlikely to affect Russia’s relations with NATO or significantly strengthen its ability to wage war. :: Thailand: Civil Unrest: Anti-government protests in Bangkok pose limited risks to commercial assets; another airport seizure is unlikely. :: Zimbabwe: Political Risk: Slowing inflation and an improved investment climate will likely trigger economic recovery; although progress will likely be slow. :: Angola: Upgrades to the Navy will likely enhance marine security and significantly reduce marine terror threats.