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Media Centre

   

Exclusive Analysis regularly provides the media with expert commentary on key indicators and trends in political, violent and country risk around the world. The following are some of the media appearances for 2012 and 2011. For daily updates, follow us on twitter @EA_Foresight or join our LinkedIn Group.

For all media requests please call Amanda Russo, Head of Corporate Communications, on +44 (0)20 7648 5416 or +44 (0) 75 5723 1908 (Blackberry), or email arusso@exclusive-analysis.com



Exclusive Analysis in the Media


January 2012

Wealth Briefing: On 17 January 2012, Director of Political Risk Ade Onitolo asked "Can Italy's Monti Push Through Fiscal Reforms?" - Click here

Lloyds List: On 16 January 2012, Head of Marine and Aviation Gary Li commented on the current pirate situation in the Gulf of Aden

CNBC: On 16 January 2012, Exclusive Analysis described an Israeli-led attack on Iran as becoming likely in Q2 - Click here

Reuters: On 12 January 2012, Senior Forecaster John Cochrane commented on the kinds of military hardware that may be effective in penetrating Iranian missile sites - Click here

TheStreet.com: On 12 January 2012, Head of Asia Forecasting Rachel Shoemaker commented on the future oil trade between Iran and China - Click here

Reuters: On 13 January 2012, Head of Global Jihad Forecasting Anna Boyd and Head of Africa Forecasting Natznet Tesfay said that Boko Haram's increase in capability may not be due to support from al-Qaeda - Click here

Insurance Day: On 11 January 2012, Insurance Day featured an Exclusive Analysis thought piece on Iran and Israel/US war risks in 2012.

Gold Investing News:On 9 January 2012, Head of Latin America Forecasting Carlos Caicedo forecasted key risks to the Conga Mine project in Peru - Click here

ThinkAfricaPress: On 6 January 2012, Exclusive Analysis forecast that Boko Haram's attacks are highly likely to incite sectarian violence in Nigeria - Click here

Royal African Society - Business Africa Blog: On 3 January 2012, Exclusive Analysis forecast a reduction on non-payment risks in Guinea - Click here

Exame: On 2 January 2012, Exame featured Exclusive Analysis' risk outlook for Iran and Israel in 2012 - Click here

December 2011

Wall Street Journal: On 28 December 2011, Director Kevin Liu said that Iran has the capability to disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz for up to a few weeks, but its relative military weakness means it could not block traffic indefinitely - Click here

Bloomberg: On 22 December 2011, Head of Current Intelligence Gary Li commented on the risks posed by North Korean submarines - Click here

Insurance Day: On 20 December 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecast an increase in non-payment risks in Nigeria - Click here

Strategic Risk: On 20 December 2011, Head of Current Intelligence Gary Li explained how rumours that Iran had closed the Strait of Hormuz had started and what such a closure would entail in practice - Click here

TheStreet.com: On 19 December 2011, Head of Global Energy Consulting Teymur Huseynov discussed the future of oil production in Libya - Click here

CEO World: On 16 December 2011, Head of Eurasia Forecasting Alisa Lockwood forecast that mass protests in Russia are unlikely to lead to the collapse of the government - Click here

Intersec Magazine (Journal of International Security): On 20 December 2011, Intersec magazine featured three editorials by Exclusive Analysis as part of its 2012 Threat Watch Feature. The editorials focused on evolving risks in the Middle East and key kidnapping and terrorism risks worldwide - Click here

HedgeFundsReview: On 13 December 2011, Chief Global Economist Brian Lawson was interviewed for a podcast on the toughening trade environment for hedge funds in 2012 - Click here

France 24: On 13 December 2011, Deputy Head of Middle East and North Africa Firas Abi Ali forecast the risk of secession and the economic future of Libya - Click here

Huffington Post: On 8 December 2011, the Huffington Post featured key forecasts from a Eurozone special report forecasting scenarios for how Greece could leave the drachma - Click here

Wealth Briefing: On 7 December 2011, Exclusive Analysis's special report on Germany and the Eurozone was featured on Wealth Briefing - Click here

Insurance Day: On 6 December 2011, Exclusive Analysis released the first edition of its Foresight Quarterly Journal that examines key risks around the world - Click here

Asia Insurance Review: The December issue featured an Exclusive Analysis editorial on key risks for the Asian region in 2012 - Click here

Royal African Society - Business Africa Blog: On 2 December 2011, Senior Africa Forecaster Robert Besseling commented that industrial action in South Africa in 2012 is likely to affect mining firms, construction companies and major seaports - Click here

Bloomberg: On 1 December 2011, Global Head of Energy Consulting discussed risks to the Iraqi energy sector.


November 2011

Bloomberg Businessweek: On 29 November 2011, Head of Current Intelligence Gary Li commented on US-China diplomacy regarding the South China Sea - Click here

Insurance Day: On 29 November 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecast increased terrorism risks in northern Kenya - Click here

Interfax: On 25 November 2011, Head of Eurasia Forecasting Alisa Lockwood commented on the Russian gas deal with Belarus - Click here

Reuters: On 25 November 2011, Reuters reported on a recent Exclusive Analysis special report that forecast increased risks of violent labour unrest in Chinese factories in 2012 - Click here

Strategic Risk: On 23 November 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecast key risks and opportunities to the Brazilian economy due to the slowdown in Europe and China - Click here

Reuters: On 23 November 2011, Head of Global Energy Consulting Teymur Huseynov commented on Exxon's oil deals in southern Iraq - Click here

Insurance Day: On 22 November 2011, Exclusive Analysis assessed the present scale of protests in Egypt and examined the likelihood of a second uprising - Click here

Foreign Policy: On 21 November 2011, Head of Current Intelligence Gary Li's comments to Bloomberg on the South China Sea were mentioned in the Oil and Glory blog at Foreign Policy - Click here

Royal African Society , Business Africa Blog: On 18 November 2011, the Africa Forecasting team said that there were rising risks to oil exploration and mining operations in a post-Gaddafi Sahel - Click here

Latin Business Chronicle: On 16 November 2011, the Latin America Forecasting Division's special report on Argentina's election forecast more state control of key sectors - Click here

Insurance Day: On 14 November 2011, the Africa Forecasting team highlighted key forecasts for terrorism risks in Nigeria in 2012 - Click here

ThinkAfricaPress: On 11 November 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecast that while there is a risk that protests in Morocco will escalate, the abolition of the Moroccan monarchy is not a target - Click here

Bloomberg: On 11 November 2011, Director of Political Risk Ade Onitolo was  interviewed about Exclusive Analysis's Eurozone scenario modelling for the debt  crisis.


Seeking Alpha: On 10 November 2011, Seeking Alpha reported on Exclusive Analysis's new scenario modelling exercise on the Eurozone - Click here

Huffington Post: On 9 November 2011, Deputy Head of Political Risk Forecasting Alexia Ash commented on Italy's soaring borrowing costs - Click here

Financial News:On 9 November 2011, Financial News reported on Exclusive Analysis's scenario modelling exercise that forecast a disorderly default by Italy in 2012 - Click here

CNBC: On 9 November 2011, CNBC reported on a new Exclusive Analysis report that forecast a 65% chance of a Eurozone banking crisis by the end of November - Click here

Politico's Morning Defence: On 8 November 2011, the MENA team forecast an increased Iran/Israel war risks in the second half of 2012, if increased sanctions fail to produce a change in Iranian policy.

Reuters: On 7 November 2011, Head of Western Europe Forecasting Pepe Egger forecasted that Greece's new technocrats will face a problem of legitimacy - Click here

Monocle: On 3 November 2011, Head of Western Europe Forecasting Pepe Egger was interviewed by Monocle on the threat of a military coup in Greece.

Reuters: On 2 November 2011, Head of Western Europe Forecasting Pepe Egger forecasted that reshuffling the military top brass does not indicate increased coup risks - Click here

Insurance Day: On 2 November 2011, Insurance Day featured an insight piece on risks to businesses in Argentina in the one-year outlook - Click here

October 2011

Reuters: On 28 October 2011, Senior Africa Forecaster Robert Besseling commented on the evolving oil sector in east Africa and made forecasts for corruption in Kenya and Tanzania; and conflict minerals in Uganda - Click here

FDI Intelligence: On 28 October 2011, Head of Asia Forecasting Rachel Shoemaker commented on Japan's FSI investment in Asia - Click here

South China Morning Post: On 27 October 2011, Head of Current Intelligence Gary Li forecasted an increase in Chinese fishing protection patrols, despite Beijing's diplomacy - Click here

Bloomberg
Bloomberg: On 21 October 2011, Deputy Head of MENA Forecasting Firas Abi Ali said that contracts signed with the NTC before elections were at risk of revision and cancellation


BBC World Service: On 21 October 2011, Deputy Head of MENA Forecasting Firas Abi Ali discussed risks to businesses wanting to return to or enter Libya on BBC Business Daily

Reuters: On 21 October 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that as a result of NTC disagreements over how to allocate oil and gas revenues, the power of the central and provincial government and the ability of the provinces to contract foreign firms for infrastructure and oil projects, small-scale fighting was likely in the run-up to and after the drafting of the constitution - Click here

Royal African Society - Business Africa Blog: On 20 October 2011, Exclusive Analysis highlighted key risks to businesses following the taking of Sirte by the NTC and the death of Gaddafi - Click here

The Times: On 18 October 2011, Deputy Head of MENA Forecasting Firas Abi Ali said that Gaddafi supporters have the technical ability to launch a bombing and assassination campaign against foreigners and leaders of the NTC - Click here

Reuters: On 17 October 2011, Deputy Head of MENA Forecasting Firas Abi Ali commented on the threat of guerrilla war on Libyan oil fields - Click here

Huffington Post: On 13 October 2011, Global Head of Energy Consulting Teymur Huseynov commented that IOCs will need to adopt a more aggressive and risk-taking strategy, due to loss of significant ground to state-run oil companies -

Continuity Insurance & Risk: On 12 October 2011, CIR Magazine highlighted that Exclusive Analysis had launched the Foresight Political Risk online platform - Click here

Bloomberg: On 11 October 2011, CEO Simon Sole forecasted debt
refinancing hurdles for the Eurozone in 2012

 








Insurance Day: On 11 October 2011, Exclusive Analysis produced an insight piece for Insurance Day on contract frustration risks in Ecuador

Daily Telegraph: On 11 October 2011, Exclusive Analysis produced an insight piece for the Daily Telegraph on how cargo ships are taking on piracy - Click here

Gateway South America: On 6 October 2011, Managing Director of Exclusive Analysis's Sao Paolo office forecasted risks to the Olympic games and World Cup in Brazil - Click here

BestWire Insurance News: On 5 October 2011, Head of Global Jihad Analysis Anna Boyd's forecasts for threats to the London Olympics was featured in a pod cast - Click here

China Daily: On 5 October 2011, Director of Political Risk Forecasting Ade Onitolo said that the bill on Chinese currency manipulation in the US Senate is probably a reaction by Democratic senators appealing to the protectionist sentiments if their union and manufacturing bases - Click here

Insurance Day: On 5 October 2011, Exclusive Analysis produced an insight piece for Insurance Day on political instability risks in Peru

Independent on Sunday: On 2 October 2011, the Independent on Sunday featured a new Exclusive Analysis study on the Taliban's movements in Afghanistan - Click here

September 2011

Think Africa Press: On 30 September 2011, the Africa team forecasted that elections in Cameroon and Morocco were likely to lead to protests - Click here

Reuters: On 30 September 2011, Head of Global Jihad Analysis Anna Boyd forecasted that Awlaki's death would not hamper AQAP operationally, except on the recruitment side - Click here

Contingency Today: On 30 September 2011, Exclusive Analysis's new risk management tool that risk rates Every Point On the Planet (EPOP) for war, terrorism and civil unrest down to a 500 square metre resolution was featured in an article about forecasting risk with GIS - Click here

Insurance Day: On 29 September 2011, Exclusive Analysis produced an insight piece for Insurance Day on the terrorism outlook for Russia

Reuters: On 28 September 2011, Head of Africa Forecasting Natznet Tesfay commented that unless underlying grievances are addressed within the Nigerian population, groups like Boko Haram are likely to have currency with disenfranchised portions of the population - Click here

Hart Energy: On 23 September 2011, Hart Energy featured Global Head of Energy Consulting Teymur Huseynov's forecasts for the Iraq oil sector - Click here

Insurance Day: On 21 September 2011, Insurance Day published a risk assessment for Libya

Latin Business Chronicle: On 21 September 2011, analysis from the Latin America team at Exclusive Analysis on Ecuador and Bolivia was featured in the Latin Business Chronicle - Click here

Daily Telegraph: On 20 September 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted civil war risks in Yemen - Click here

AP: On 18 September 2011, Head of Asia Forecasting Rachel Shoemaker forecasted that China is likely to focus on commercial gains in the EU and negotiate bilateral deals that result in investment opportunities for bond purchases - Click here

Think Africa Press: On 15 September 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that strike action in Gabon was increasingly likely in the next two weeks and would likely cause disruptions to oil production and cargo - Click here

Insurance Day: On 14 September 2011, Exclusive Analysis provided a Western Europe terrorism risk overview article highlighting key trends for Insurance Day

Financial News: On 12 September 2011, Head of Asia Forecasting Rachel Shoemaker forecasted that China is more focused on strategic investment than a wholesale rescue of the Eurozone - Click here

Think Africa Press: On 9 September 2011, Exclusive Analysis provided Week Ahead forecasts for Swaziland and Sudan - Click here

BBC Online: On 9 September 2011, Head of EA's Energy Consultancy Teymur Huseynov forecasted that as long as there is not a return to hostilities, oil production in Libya would return to pre-war levels in 12 months - Click here

China Daily: On 7 September 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that despite increased criticism of EU deficits and US debt, the current crisis is unlikely to have a significant effect on China's investment policies in these economies - Click here

Geoconnexion: In the September issue of the magazine, EA's new risk management tool that risk rates Every Point On the Planet (EPOP) for war, terrorism and civil unrest down to a 500 square metre resolution was featured in an article about forecasting risk with GIS - Click here

China Daily: On 6 September 2011, Global Economist Brian Lawson discussed a new credit ratings agency in Europe - Click here

CEO World: On 5 September 2011, an EA special report on Gold Reserves and Chinese reserve diversification was featured on CEO World - Click here

CEO World: On 5 September 2011, Risk HotSpots Maps for Yemen, Afghanistan and India from EA's new product Foresight Security Planning were featured on CEO World - Click here

Al Jazeera: On 2 September 2011, Director of Violent Risk Forecasting Paul McGrath forecasted key risks for Mexico in a special feature Is Mexico Losing the War on Drugs

 









Reuters: On 1 September 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that the Syrian government is unlikely to survive the current civil unrest - Click here

August 2011

Reuters: On 27 August 2011, Senior Risk Forecaster Anna Boyd commented that the US announcement of the death of Atuyah abd al-Rahman was immensely important as there are so few people left in al-Qaeda who can now move up into senior ranks - Click here

Reuters: On 27 August 2011, Senior Risk Forecaster Anna Boyd said the prominence of former LIFG fighters in rebel units did not by itself suggest that al Qaeda's regional arm, the Algerian-based al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), now had opportunities in Libya - Click here

Reuters: On 26 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted the connection between AQIM and Boko Haram, following the bombing of a UN building in Abuja, Nigeria - Click here

FT Tilt: On 26 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that the deadly bomb attack in Abuja, Nigeria represents the group's embrace of al-Qaeda-like tactics to garner international attention, which increases the risks of further attacks on foreigners in the country - Click here

Reuters: On 24 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that the main terrorist threat emanating from Libya in the next six months was likely to be from Gaddafi loyalists - Click here

Lloyds List: 24 August 201, Exclusive Analysis forecasted the risks to ports in Libya - Click here

CEO World: On 24 August 2011, the fifth instalment of EA's European and US Debt Crisis report series was featured on CEO World - Click here

CNBC.com: On 24 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted when oil exports would resume in Libya - Click here

Rio Times: On 23 August 2011, Head of Latin America Forecasting Carlos Caicedo forecasted political risks to Brazil's World Cup and Olympics - Click here

Lloyds List: On 23 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted key risks to Libya's oil sector - Click here

Daily Defense Newsletter from Politico: On 23 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted two key risks to the establishment of an effective new government in Libya: the absence of national institutions and in-fighting in Benghazi and in the east amongst rebel forces

CNBC.com: On 23 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis said that pumping stations in east Libya have been sabotaged by pro-Gaddafi forces and will need to be repaired - Click here

FT Tilt: On 22 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted political risks in Indonesia - Click here

Strategic Risk: On 19 August 2011, London Riot Risk Maps made by Exclusive Analysis were featured in Strategic Risk - Click here

Think Africa Press: On 19 August 2011, key outlooks for Cape Verde, Liberia and Angola were features - Click here

Strategic Risk: On 19 August, Exclusive Analysis's Week Ahead Key Risks was featured on Strategic Risk - Click here

FT Tilt: On 18 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted political risks in post-election Thailand - Click here

Strategic Risk: On 18 August 2011, Head of Africa Forecasting Natznet Tesfay forecasted risks and opportunities in sub-Saharan Africa - Click here

Reuters: On 16 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that Assad's position is getting steadily worse and that eventually the government would not be able to contain the uprising - Click here

WSJ: On 15 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that if violence in Syria escalates, it is increasingly likely that ports and airports in Latakia, Banias, Aleppo and Homs would close - Click here

Al Jazeera: On 12 August 2011, CEO Simon Sole commented on the North Atlantic Economic crisis and key moves going forward for China

 









China Daily: On 11 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that the riots in London would likely finish by the end of the week - Click here

Reuters: On 10 August 2011, Head of Western Europe Forecasting Pepe Egger forecasted that decades of growing divisions and marginalisation led to the riots and austerity measures will almost certainly make it worse - Click here

CityWire: On 9 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that countries will probably aim to diversify reserve holdings away from US dollars over time - Click here

China Daily: On 9 August 2011, Head of Western Europe Forecasting Pepe Egger said that the police might be challenged if large-scale protests happened during the Olympic games - Click here

CEO World: On 9 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that the UK riots would likely expand and continue until the end of the week - Click here

Defense News: On 9 August 2011, Current Intelligence Analyst Gary Li commented on China's first aircraft carrier's sea trials - Click here

Insurance Day: On 8 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted the outlook for the dollar, following a credit ratings agency's downgrade of the US's credit rating - Click here

Daily Telegraph: On 8 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that Syria's neighbours were likely building a coalition against Assad's government - Click here

Bloomberg: On 8 August 2011, CEO Simon Sole discussed the political drivers of the global market crisis and the outlook for the future

Global Times: On 5 August 2011, Marine and Aviation expert Gary Li commented that Japan was becoming more confident about its defensive capabilities as well as its desire to play a larger role in regional security matters - Click here

WSJ: On 4 August 2011, Exclusive Analysis said that the Syrian government is moving directly against selected urban areas outside central Damascus and Aleppo, including Hama - Click here

Bloomberg: On 3 August 2011, Head of North America Forecasting Alexia Ash said that a US credit downgrading was still possible, despite an agreement on the debt ceiling

 









South China Morning Post: On 3 August 2011, Marine and Aviation expert Gary Li discussed concerns over PLA ships near Japanese islands - Click here

Strategic Risk: On 3 August 2011, Global Economist Ishan Bhaskar said that if bond yields get beyond 8%, there is no way that countries can rely on private markets - Click here

BBC Breakfast: On 1 August 2011, Head of North America Forecasting Alexia Ash commented on future political risks following the US raising of the debt ceiling

July 2011

Global Times: On 28 July 2011, Marine and Aviation expert Gary Li said that China's new aircraft carrier was not a historic event, given that it was not built from an indigenous design - Click here

Taipei Times: On 28 July 2011, Marine and Aviation expert Gary Li commented on the reasons why a PLA plane could have violated Taiwanese airspace - Click here

BBC World Service: On 27 July 2011, Head of North America Forecasting Alexia Ash commented on the impact of a downgrade on the US credit rating

Financial Times: On 24 July 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that the carbon tax in Australia will likely only apply to about 500 companies rather than the 1,500 as originally envisaged - Click here

The China Post: On 24 July 2011, Marine and Aviation expert Gary Li forecasted that Vietnam wants to build a bloc against China, which would include Malaysia and the Philippines - Click here

Defense News: On 24 July 2011, Marine and Aviation expert Gary Li commented on the next steps for the Aviation Industry Corporation of China - Click here

Reuters: On 23 July 2011, Exclusive Analysis commented that the terrorist attack in Norway was likely carried out by an ethnic Norwegian - Click here

Reuters: On 23 July 2011, Marine and Aviation expert Gary Li commented on China's growing influence in the South China Sea - Click here

WSJ: On 23 July 2011, Exclusive Analysis commented that losing control of Homs and Hama would hamper the ability of the government to move troops from Damascus to Aleppo - Click here

Daily Telegraph: On 22 July 2011, Head of Global Jihad Forecasting Anna Murison forecasted that it was possible that the attack was carried out with the involvement of a far-right group - Click here

Latin Business Chronicle: 21 July 2011, the Latin America team forecasted that tax reform in Brazil was likely - Click here

Citywire: On 21 July 2011, Exclusive Analysis commented about the risks of investing in China - Click here

Estado de Sao Paulo: 17 July 2011, Deputy Head of Middle East and North Africa Forecasting Firas Abi Ali commented on the future of civil unrest in the region - Click here

WSJ: 16 July 2011, Exclusive Analysis said that the Syrian government had reached a tipping point and would not survive - Click here

Defence News: 15 July 2011, Current Intelligence Analyst Gary Li commented on the deployment of Chinese UAVs - Click here

Strategic Risk: On 15 July 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecasted that there is a high risk that rivalries between groups in South Sudan will escalate as there is no need to present an united front against the North - Click here

Reuters: 14 July 2011, Firas Abi Ali, Deputy Head of Middle East and North Africa Forecasting, said that it is difficult to stop smuggling and illegal border crossings between Tunisia and Libya - Click here

Defense News: On 14 July 2011, Marine and Aviation expert Gary Li commented on China's Silver Hawk UAV progamme advances - Click here

Strategic Risk: On 13 July 2011, Global Economist Ishan Bhaskar said that if bond yields get beyond 8%, there is no way that countries can rely on private markets - Click here

Daily Telegraph: On 12 July 2011, Deputy Head of Asia Forecasting Arvind Ramakrishnan, said that Ahmad Wali Karzai's assassination would increase the moral of and provide propaganda for the Taliban - Click here

Reuters: On 6 July 2011, Head of Africa Forecasting Natznet Tesfay said that she had yet to see evidence of an "operational relationship" between pirates and al Shabab in Somalia - Click here

Latin Business Chronicle: On 5 July 2011, the Latin America team forecast that there is an increased risk of contract cancellations in Peru - Click here

Diplomat: In the July 2011 edition, Exclusive Analysis forecasted the violent and political risks for investors in South Sudan, noting that there are multiple risks facing foreign companies and organisations with current or potential future operations in the area - Click here

Hedge Funds Review: On 4 July 2011, Global Economists Brian Lawson and Ishan Bhaskar outlined that political risk is crucial for investors to understand as it can discern fact from fiction when it comes to investing in markets mistakenly perceived either as risky or attractive - Click here

June 2011

Reuters: On 27 June 2011, Reuters quotes an Exclusive Analysis study on jihadi forums and noted that while forum discussions usually did not precipitate actual attacks, several forum members had engaged in militant activity in the past - Click here

Bloomberg: On 22 June 2011, Global Economist Brian Lawson discussed the global food supply and the outlook for commodity prices on Bloomberg's Countdown

 









Daily Telegraph: On 23 June 2011, Asia Senior Forecaster Omar Hamid forecast that a purely military approach in Afghanistan will only result in a stalemate. He said that the US surge has not shifted the balance of conflict decisively in favour of ISAF - Click here

Oil & Gas Journal: : On 22 June 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecast that pipelines and other systems in Colombia are likely to become the target of attacks by drug-related organisations - Click here

Bloomberg:: On 22 June 2011, Global Economist Brian Lawson forecast the future of commodities regulations - Click here

ACE Progress Magazine: On 22 June 2011, Head of Western Europe Forecasting Pepe Egger analysed civil unrest risks in Western Europe following austerity measures in Greece, Ireland and Italy - Click here

CNBC.com: On 20 June 2011, Head of Western Europe Forecasting Pepe Egger analysed civil unrest in Greece and commented that the protests are forcing Papandreou to try to enlarge his majority to get the opposition on board, or shore up his own party - Click here

AFP: On 19 June 2011, Exclusive Analysis commented on Assad's inner circle in Syria and forecast civil unrest risks going forward - Click here

Al Jazeera: On 17 June 2011, Head of Latin America Forecasting Carlos Caicedo forecast regulatory risks in Brazil

 








Strategic Risk: On 16 June 2011, Senior MENA Forecaster Firas Abi Ali said that Egypt was unlikely to expropriate foreign investment - Click here

Insurance Day: On 15 June 2011, the Asia Forecasting team forecast key violent risk hotspots in Thailand and highlighted key election scenarios - Click here

Reuters: On 13 June 2011, Head of Africa Forecasting Natznet Tesfay commented on mediation by foreign governments in Somalia following the death of al-Qaeda member Fazul Mohammed - Click here

Continuity Insurance and Risk: On 10 June 2011, the Asia Forecasting team said that there were two high probability election outcome scenarios in Thailand and common to both is a high risk of property damage, business disruption and impacts on the business environment- Click here

South China Morning Post: On 8 June 2011, Intelligence Analyst and Marine expert Gary Li was interviewed about Hong Kong recruits

CNNGo.com: On 8 June 2011, Intelligence Analyst and Marine expert Gary Li commented on Hong Kong recruits being welcomed to join the PLA - Click here

Wall Street Journal: On 8 June 2011, Current Intelligence Analyst Gary Li commented that the bombing escalation in Tripoli was a likely attempt to intimidate what remains of the Gadhafi's support - Click here

Defense News: On 6 June 2011, Gary Li discussed China-US relations - Click here

China Daily: On 6 June 2011, Intelligence Analyst and Marine expert Gary Li forecasted growth of the PLA - Click here

South China Morning Post: On 3 June 2011, Intelligence analyst and marine expert Gary Li commented on the PLA Navy

Continuity Insurance and Risk: On 2 June 2011, the Asia team at Exclusive Analysis forecasted that the fears of the China banking crisis were overblown - Click here

Fund Web: On 2 June 2011, the Asia team at Exclusive Analysis forecasted that the Chinese banking system is unlikely to fall into crisis due to the buffers currently in place - Click here


May 2011





AdamSmith.org: On 21 May 2011, Global Economist Brian Lawson forecast that risks to the Chinese banking system were overblown - Click here

Reuters: on 20 May 2011, Head of Global Jihad Forecasting Anna Murison discussed implications of the death of Osama bin Laden on al-Qaeda funding and commented that Zawahri's endorsement does carry weight in fundraising - Click here

CNBC.com: On 18 May 2011, Head of Eurasia and Global Energy Consulting Teymur Huseynov was interviewed about the BP-Rosneft deal collapse and commented on political risk in Russia - Click here

Reuters: On 18 May 2011, Head of Eurasia and Global Energy Consulting Teymur Huseynov forecasted a decrease of over 5% in Russian upstream oil sector taxes in the next year - Click here

CNBC.com: On 17 May 2011, CNBC quoted Exclusive Analysis on the threat posed by dissident Irish Republicans to the Queen's First Visit to Ireland - Click here

South China Morning Post: On 17 May 2011, Current Intelligence Analyst Gary Li commented on the implications of a PLA Navy live-fire drill

Reuters: On 9 May 2011, Exclusive Analysis commented on intelligence finds in bin Laden's Pakistan compound - Click here

CSO Online: On 4 May 2011, Head of Global Jihad Analysis Anna Murison forecast the risks to businesses and personnel following the death of Osama bin Laden - Click here

BBC World Service: On 4 May 2011, Head of Global Jihad Analysis Anna Murison commented on terrorism financing and forecast the future of al-Qaeda on the BBC's Business Daily programme - Click here

Al Jazeera: On 4 May 2011, Head of Global Jihad Analysis Anna Murison was interviewed by Al Jazeera's Newshour about key future players in Global Jihad

Strategic Risk: On 3 May 2011, Strategic Risk featured an Exclusive Analysis brief forecasting the future of al-Qaeda leadership - Click here


April 2011





AFP: On 21 April, Exclusive Analysis discussed protests in Syria and the future outlook for the country - Click here

Global Times: On 15 April 2011, Senior Political Risk Forecaster Firas Abi Ali outlined future scenarios for Libya.

Reuters: On 14 April, Head of MENA Forecasting Zaineb Al-Assam analysed future kingpins in Yemen for Reuters - Ckick here

Bloomberg: On 13 April 2011, Robert Besseling, Senior Africa Forecaster, forecast that cocoa harvests would be threatened despite Gbagbo's exit exit due to fighting and unrest in cocoa producing regions - Click here

Reuters: On 11 April 2011, Robert Besseling, Senior Africa Forecaster, said that Gbagbo's detention would not end fighting in Cote d'Ivoire - Click here

Al Jazeera: On 9 April 2011, Robert Besseling, Senior Africa Forecaster, discussed political risks in Nigeria during an interview about election campaign spending and oil in Nigeria

 







Independent on Sunday: On 10 April 2011, Exclusive Analysis's threat assessment for the 2012 London Olympics assessed key risks to the games - Click here

BBC Business Daily: On 9 April 2011, , Senior Africa Forecaster Robert Besseling forecast business risks in Zimbabwe as a result of indigenisation policy - Click here

Insurance Day: On 6 April 2011, Head of Western Europe Pepe Egger forecast risks to the London 2012 Olympics


March 2011






AFP: On 30 March 2011, Exclusive Analysis briefed on the outlook for civil unrest in Syria

Hedge Funds Review: On 29 March 2011, CEO Simon Sole discussed key risks for investors in the Middle East and North Africa - Click here

Insurance Day: On 29 March 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecast that sabotage attacks in Gaddafi strongholds such as Sirtre will become more likely

CNBC: On 29 March 2011, Senior Africa Forecaster Robert Besseling said that the violence in Cote d'Ivoire could be considered civil war. He forecast disruption to the cocoa crop due to on-going violence in cocoa producing areas

Al Jazeera: On 27 March 2011, Carlos Cardenas, Deputy Head of Latin America Forecasting, briefed on South America's relationship with China and the US
FT Tilt: On 24 March 2011, Director of Risk Analytics Rafael Gomes gave forecast the threat to elite commercial interests in Morocco Increasing civil unrest in Morocco is likely to lead to contract revisions for several banking, insurance and real estate interests of King Mohamed's inner circle - Click here

Financial Director: On 24 March 2011, Head of Eurasia Forecasting and Energy Consulting Teymur Huseynov outlined bribery and corruption risk in Russia - Click here

Reuters Insider TV: On 23 March 2011, Senior Risk Forecaster Firas Abi Ali analysed the violence in Libya





BBC World Service: On 21 March 2011, Head of Eurasia Forecasting and Energy Consulting Teymur Huseynov forecast key issues for the future of oil companies operating in conflict zones - Click here

Independent on Sunday: On 20 March 2011, Head of MENA Forecasting Zaineb Al-Assam outlined the future kingpins of a post-Gaddafi Libya - Click here

France 24: On 17 March 2011, Deputy Head of MENA Forecasting Faysal Itani briefed on the current situation in Bahrain and its implications for the future of the country and for businesses

Bloomberg: On 16 March 2011, Deputy Head of MENA Forecasting Faysal Itani forecast the implications and future of civil unrest in Bahrain and analysed possible scenarios

 


BNN: On 15 March 2011, Senior Risk Forecaster Firas Abi Ali was featured panellists on the Canadian Business News Network. He briefed on a range of future scenarios in the Middle East and North Africa, such as disorderly succession in Saudi Arabia

 








NTN: On 15 March 2011, Deputy Head of Asia Forecasting Arvind Ramakrishnan discussed the economic impact of the earthquake and tsunami as well as future political risks in Japan - Click here

CNBC: On 15 March 2011, Deputy Head of Asia Forecasting Arvind Ramakrishnan forecast implications for the Japanese economy following the earthquake and tsunami.

BBC's Newsnight: On 14 March 2011, Head of Asia Forecasting Rachel Shoemaker forecast political risks to Japan following the earthquake and tsunami

Bloomberg: On 9 March 2011, Head of Eurasia and Global Energy Consulting Teymur Huseynov said that Russia lacked spare oil production capacity to compensate for disrupted supplies from the MENA region

 









Strategic Risk: For the March issue, Exclusive Analysis outlined and assessed the likelihood of four key risk scenarios for 2011 and their implications for business. They include stricter capital controls in Brazil, drug wars in Mexico, a Greece or Ireland default and air strikes against Iran - Click here


February 2011

CNBC: On 24 February 2011, Head of Eurasia and Global Energy Consulting Teymur Huseynov assessed the ramifications of gas supply disruption in the content of unrest in Libya.

Daily Telegraph: On 22 February 2011, Deputy Head of MENA Forecasting Faysal Itani commented on events in Bahrain in the context of the wider region - Click here

BBC World Service: 14 February 2011: Zaineb Al-Assam, Head of MENA Forecasting, spoke on the risks to business in post-Mubarak Egypt - Click here

Financial Times: On 4 February 2011, Faysal Itani, Deputy Head of MENA Forecasting, spoke on an 'Arab Awakening' in the Middle East - Click here

Bloomberg: On 2 February 2011, Faysal Itani, Deputy Head of MENA Forecasting, said that Egypt is the start of change in the Middle East, not the end

 








Al Jazeera: On 2 February 2011, Senior Risk Forecaster Firas Abi Ali forecast risks to Egypt and businesses in the Middle East and North Africa

Insurance Day: On 1 February 2011, Exclusive Analysis forecast that Egypt would not shut down the Suez Canal and risk undermining the country's foreign relations


January 2011

Sky News: On 31 January 2011, Deputy Head of MENA Forecasting Faysal Itani, was interviewed about civil unrest in the MENA region

BBC World News: On 31 January 2011, Head of MENA Forecasting Zaineb Al-Assam forecast the political risks of the civil unrest in the MENA region

Insurance Day: On 25 January 2011, Exclusive Analysis cautioned that further suicide attacks against fixed assets in central Moscow were unlikely, but warned that soft targets were still at risk

CNBC: On 24 Jan 2011, Teymur Huseynov, Head of Eurasia Forecasting and Global Head of Oil and Gas Consulting, delivered analysis of the terrorist incident at Domodedovo Airport in Moscow - Click here

Insurance Day: On 19 January 2011, Insurance Day covered Exclusive Analysis's briefing to the International Underwriters Association about key risks and opportunities in 2011 from the newly published Foresight 2011